A few hands from tonights session. Villian in the first hand is a 11/11/6 reg over 1,329 hands. He cbets 81% of the time. On a relatively dry flop, I expect his continuing range to be AK,KQ,KK,AA only. I expect to fold out 77-QQ. Because of how high his cbet is, I decide to turn 1010 into a bluff, and this time it worked. In retrospect, considering he is a positionally aware player, and is in early position, makes this play only slightly EV at best, as a decent amount of his range will have me beat.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
whiterice197 (Button) ($122.25)
Preflop: whiterice197 is Button with 10, 10
UTG bets $3, 5 folds, whiterice197 calls $3, 1 fold, BB calls $2
Flop: ($9.50) 2, K, 6 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG bets $5.50, whiterice197 raises to $19, 2 folds
Total pot: $20.50 | Rake: $1
The second had is against a 9/8 TAG reg. After he called my 3bet, I put him on QQ+, AK only. So with a KQ2 flop, I was wasn't happy. On the turn he makes a strong lead bet, and I elect to make the safe play and call. At this point, his range consists of KK,QQ, AK, and some scattered bluffs. On the river he shoves, which is a slight overbet. His range now is polarized to KK (rarely, as he would most likely have 4bet preflop), QQ, 1010, and air. I timed down and called his bluff. I suppose my reasoning was that if he did indeed have a set he would not have shoved, in order to get a little more value out of his hand, as my hand looks very much like AK. However, looking back on the hand, shoving is certainly not a bad play if he did have a set. I don't think raising the turn is the optimal play in this case, as I will just fold out worse hands except for maybe AK.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (MP3) ($50)
Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A, A
1 fold, UTG+1 bets $2, 2 folds, Hero raises to $6.50, 4 folds, UTG+1 calls $4.50
Flop: ($13.75) K, Q, 2 (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($13.75) 10 (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $10.50, Hero calls $10.50
River: ($34.75) 6 (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $38.80 (All-In), Hero calls $33 (All-In)
Total pot: $100.75 | Rake: $3
Ok, so off to watch the Pitt/Providence game on DVR. I'm really surprised at Pitt this year, after losing Sam Young and DeJuan Blair to the NBA. I think that Pitt will do OK in the NCAA tournament only- maybe a sweet 16 at best. But it is a young squad, and no matter how they do in the tourney, they have a very bright future.
Also having a bright outlook are the Penguins. It's amazing how the penguins will make a move, trading a second round pick, for a player that will help them for this season only, in order to try to win a cup, while the Pirates, in the same market, keep acting as a minor league club for the Yankees and Red Sox of the baseball world.
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